Author: Viktoriia Ray
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Ukrainian Soybean Prices Rise Amid Tight Supply
Bullish: Ukrainian soybean export prices climbed to USD 420–428/t CPT port on tight domestic supply and strong competition among buyers. Bearish: Global soybean prices remain pressured by weak Chinese demand for US soy, lower Argentine export duties, and strong Brazilian crop prospects. Neutral: Soybean meal export price growth has stalled as demand slows, keeping values…
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China Buys Again: Argentine Wheat Exports Restart
Trade Resumption: China has booked its first Argentine wheat cargo in around 30 years via state-owned Cofco International. Competitive Supply: Record Argentine harvest and lower export duties to 7.5% are making its wheat among the cheapest globally. Market Impact: Neutral to slightly bearish for Black Sea wheat as Argentina competes more aggressively in Asian destinations,…
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Russian Grain Export Duties Kept at Zero Through Dec 25
Zero Duties Extended: Russia will maintain zero export duties on wheat, barley, and corn for shipments from December 17–25, preserving export competitiveness. Mixed Price Action: Wheat and barley indicative prices rose week-over-week, while corn prices declined amid seasonal harvest pressure. Neutral to Slightly Bullish Tone: Stable demand for wheat and barley and continued duty-free exports…
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Ukrainian sunflower seed prices retreat as oil weakens
Ukrainian Sunflower Seed Prices Retreat on Weak Oil Market, Ample Stocks Key Takeaways Ukrainian sunflower seed prices fell by UAH 300–500/ton last week after a short-lived increase. Processing plants quoted sunflower seeds at UAH 27,500–28,600/ton CPT, with premiums for oil content above 50–51%. The price reduction reflects weaker sunflower oil export values and comfortable raw…
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Brazilian Soybean Exports Surge, Pressuring US Market
Bearish US & Black Sea: Brazil’s soybean export potential is projected to jump to 115 million tons in 2026, reinforcing its dominance and eroding market share for competing origins. Bearish Prices: Expanded Brazilian production to 178 million tons and higher carryover stocks of 7–8 million tons are likely to pressure international soybean prices. Export Momentum:…
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Novorossiysk Wheat Exports Dip 2.8% — Market Update
Stable exports: Weekly wheat loadings at Novorossiysk eased just 2.8% to 449.7 thousand tons, signaling steady Black Sea export flows. Diversified demand: Oman, Sudan, and Turkey each took more than 60 thousand tons, highlighting broad MENA regional demand. Neutral sentiment: A minor volume decline and continued robust shipments keep overall market sentiment neutral for now.…
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Kazakhstan Oilseed Processing: New 165kT Crushing Plant
Neutral to Slightly Bearish: Additional 165,000 tons of annual sunflower crushing capacity in Kazakhstan could marginally pressure Black Sea vegetable oil and protein meal export demand over time. Structural Shift: New full-cycle processing complex in East Kazakhstan may redirect domestic sunflower flows away from export channels and encourage further regional crushing investments. Regional Competition: Locally…
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Russian Wheat Exports Plunge 21.6% as Buyer Base Narrows
Neutral to Bearish: Russian wheat exports fell 21.6% year-on-year in early December, with buyer countries shrinking to 14 from 32. Supportive Demand: Egypt and Turkey increased purchases, while Iran entered as a new buyer, underscoring resilient demand for Russian wheat. Concentration Risk: Export mix narrowed sharply to 7 commodity types, suggesting a focus on wheat…
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Moldova rapeseed exports surge: EU’s No.2 supplier
Bearish for prices: Moldova’s rapeseed exports to the EU surged 3.25x year-on-year, lifting its share of EU imports from 3.2% to 15% and increasing supply for European crushers. Supportive for basis/logistics: Heavy dependence on road freight (53%) and Romania–Bulgaria routes raises the risk of border bottlenecks, which could firm local basis levels despite ample supply.…
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MHP Corn Harvest: 45,000 Ha Completed
Operational Progress: MHP’s Central Hub has completed corn harvesting on 45,000 hectares, signaling near-finalization of autumn fieldwork. Crop Condition: Winter wheat (25,200 hectares) and winter rapeseed (9,000 hectares) are entering dormancy in good, well-developed condition. Technology & Efficiency: The hub is expanding precision agriculture, including differentiated fertilizer application and no-till/strip-till practices for the 2026 harvest.…