A high-resolution, cinematic split-composition photograph contrasting two major global vegetable oil markets: on the left half, a vast Black Sea port terminal at dusk with idle sunflower oil tanker ships and rows of silver storage silos under overcast skies, symbolizing oversupply and bearish sentiment; on the right half, a bustling Chinese industrial facility in bright daylight showing workers operating modern palm oil refining equipment with stainless steel tanks and golden RBD palm oil flowing through transparent pipelines, representing tight supply and strong demand

Black Sea Sunflower Oil Falls to Weekly Low

  • Bullish: Chinese palm oil RBD and rapeseed oil in the EU advanced on tightening availability and firm regional demand.
  • Bearish: Black Sea sunflower oil and global meal prices softened on ample supply and weaker feed demand signals.

Global Vegetable Oils and Oilseeds Update – January 19, 2026

Vegetable oil and oilseed markets showed mixed movements on January 19, 2026, with sharp contrasts between Black Sea sunflower oil weakness, robust gains in Chinese palm oil RBD, and pressure across key meal markets.

Vegetable Oil Prices

Commodity Location / Basis Delivery / Note Price (USD/t) Change (USD/t) Comment
Sunflower oil FOB Black Sea Prompt $1,290.00 -10.00 Weekly minimum
Sunflower oil CIF Mumbai, India Prompt $1,402.95 0.00 Weekly maximum, unchanged
Soybean oil FOB EU Jan & Mar delivery $1,291.98 -0.38 Marginal decline
Soybean oil Dalian, China Prompt $1,173.56 +7.97 Firm domestic tone
Palm oil FOB Malaysia Through Feb $1,027.34 0.00 Stable
Palm oil RBD Dalian, China Prompt $1,236.75 +25.23 Sharp daily gain (+2.1%)
Palm kernel oil RBD FOB Malaysia Prompt $1,880.55 -4.98 Slightly softer
Rapeseed oil FOB Netherlands Prompt $1,199.49 +10.81 Solid advance

Sunflower oil FOB Black Sea led the downside, slipping $10/t to $1,290/t and marking the lowest level of the week, suggesting comfortable nearby supply. By contrast, CIF Mumbai sunflower oil held at $1,402.95/t, maintaining its weekly high and underscoring resilient import demand into India despite Black Sea weakness.

Soybean oil price action diverged regionally: FOB EU eased by a marginal $0.38/t to $1,291.98/t for both January and March positions, while Dalian China gained $7.97/t to $1,173.56/t, pointing to firmer domestic buying interest or tighter stocks in China.

In the palm complex, FOB Malaysia crude palm oil remained unchanged at $1,027.34/t through February, but RBD palm oil in Dalian China surged $25.23/t to $1,236.75/t, a move consistent with tightening local availability or robust industrial and food demand. Palm kernel oil RBD FOB Malaysia softened $4.98/t to $1,880.55/t, reflecting modest easing after prior strength.

Rapeseed oil FOB Netherlands climbed $10.81/t to $1,199.49/t, signaling ongoing demand support in the European complex and potentially tighter crush margins.

Meals and Oilseeds

Commodity Location / Basis Delivery / Note Price (USD/t) Change (USD/t) Comment
Sunflower meal CIF France Prompt $238.73 +1.00 Weekly maximum
Soybean meal Dalian, China Prompt $439.73 -11.33 Weekly minimum
Soybean meal CIF EU Prompt $365.17 -1.00 Slight decline
Rapeseed meal FOB EU Prompt $250.38 -3.59 Weaker tone
Soybeans Dalian, China Mar delivery $615.07 +4.15 Firmer futures

Meal markets were predominantly under pressure. Soybean meal in Dalian China fell $11.33/t to $439.73/t, a weekly low, while CIF EU soybean meal slipped $1.00/t to $365.17/t. Rapeseed meal FOB EU dropped $3.59/t to $250.38/t, collectively indicating improved crushing margins or softer feed demand across regions.

Sunflower meal CIF France was the exception, rising $1.00/t to $238.73/t, a weekly high, hinting at firm demand for alternative protein meals in Europe despite broader weakness in soy and rapeseed meal.

Soybeans on Dalian for March delivery strengthened by $4.15/t to $615.07/t, suggesting that futures are pricing in slightly tighter forward fundamentals even as downstream meals move lower.

Market Interpretation

The combination of lower Black Sea sunflower oil and weaker meal prices points to comfortable near-term supply and possibly slower feed consumption. At the same time, strength in Chinese palm oil RBD and EU rapeseed oil underscores region-specific tightness and demand resilience. Black Sea sunflower exporters should watch whether the $10/t decline draws in new buying interest or foreshadows further downside, while Chinese importers may reassess palm oil coverage given the sharp price jump.

Source: Market Data


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