- Growth: Kazakhstan’s trade with Organization of Turkic States (OTS) rose to $10.4 billion in January–October 2025, up 11% year-on-year.
- Sunflower Oil Driver: Processed sunflower oil, alongside wheat, copper, oil, and metal products, was a key contributor to export growth.
- Market Concentration: Turkey, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Azerbaijan account for around 96% of Kazakhstan’s total trade turnover with OTS members.
- Sentiment: Neutral to slightly bullish outlook for Black Sea sunflower oil markets as regional demand shows resilience and deeper integration.
Market Update
Kazakhstan’s agricultural exports to Turkic markets delivered strong results in the first ten months of 2025. According to QazTrade, total trade turnover with member countries of the Organization of Turkic States reached $10.4 billion in January–October 2025, an 11% increase compared with the same period in 2024.
Sunflower oil featured prominently among the export commodities driving this expansion, alongside wheat, copper, crude oil, metal products, and a range of other agricultural and food items. QazTrade CEO Aitmuhammed Aldazharov linked the uptrend to stable demand for Kazakhstani products across Turkic markets, noting that processed goods showed the fastest growth rate among all categories.
Trade flows remain highly concentrated: four destinations—Turkey, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Azerbaijan—absorb roughly 96% of total turnover. This reflects established logistics corridors, long-standing trade relationships, and consistent demand patterns in these key regional markets.
Market Analysis
The expansion of Kazakhstan’s exports to Turkic states signals a neutral to slightly bullish backdrop for Black Sea sunflower oil markets. Growing shipments of processed sunflower oil into Turkic markets indicate deepening regional integration that partially bypasses traditional Black Sea export routes.
The 11% year-on-year rise in overall trade turnover underscores resilient demand in Central Asia and Turkey, suggesting these markets can absorb additional sunflower oil volumes. This may help underpin price stability for the broader oilseed complex, provided that increased Kazakh supply into Turkic markets represents net new demand rather than a redirection away from other Black Sea destinations.
Traders should continue to monitor whether logistics efficiencies, policy support, or preferential trade arrangements within the Organization of Turkic States further accelerate processed oil exports, potentially reinforcing Kazakhstan’s role as a regional sunflower oil supplier.
Source: Market Data
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