Author: Viktoriia Ray
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Kazakhstan Milling Wheat: 14,900 Tons Sent to Millers
Domestic supply support: 14,900 tons of milling wheat released to Kazakh millers helps stabilize internal flour and grain markets. Quality-focused allocation: Third-class wheat with 23% gluten dominates sales, ensuring adequate supply for flour producers. Strong feed demand: Poultry farms requested about 200,000 tons of grain, signaling robust domestic feed consumption. Neutral-to-slightly bearish for exports: Higher…
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Ukraine Agricultural Exports Rise 10% in Value
Bullish: Export revenues rose 9.3% to $4 billion on flat volumes, signaling a shift toward higher-value agricultural products and improved margins. Bearish: Wheat exports collapsed 43% as EU demand plunged following a record 2025 harvest, pressuring traditional Black Sea–EU freight routes. Bullish: Turkey’s share jumped to 13% of export value, with corn shipments tripling and supporting…
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Jordan Wheat Tender: 60,000t Secured at $277.50
Tender Result: Jordan’s MIT purchased 60,000 tonnes of milling wheat at $277.50/tonne C&F, half of the 120,000-tonne target volume. Price Competitiveness: CHS won the tender with the lowest bid, undercutting rivals by $0.90–$7.50 per tonne across a tight offer range. Logistics Window: Shipment is scheduled for June 1–15 delivery to Aqaba port, providing a benchmark…
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Kazakhstan Wheat Imports Soar 41x on Russian Price Edge
Russian wheat inflows surge: Kazakhstan imported 395,700 tons of Russian wheat in the first five months of 2025/26 MY, a 41-fold jump from 9,500 tons a year earlier. Currency-driven advantage: Weakness of the Russian ruble against the Kazakh tenge is making Russian wheat highly competitive for Kazakh processors. Shifting Black Sea trade flows: Increased Kazakhstan…
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Russian Grain Transshipment Rises Despite Port Slowdown
Supportive grain flows: Russian grain transshipment rose 6.1% year-on-year to 7 million tonnes in Jan–Feb 2026 despite softer overall port activity. Weaker broader cargo mix: Total port turnover fell 4.7% to 129.5 million tonnes, with mineral fertilizer and bulk food shipments declining sharply. Potential freight advantage for grain: Reduced fertilizer and bulk food volumes may…
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South Korea Secures US Non-GM Soybeans for 2026-27
Deal Size: South Korea secured 125,000 tons of U.S. non-GM soybeans for April 2026–April 2027 delivery. Price Range: Main volume priced between $235.97 and $258.20/ton C&F, plus 25,000 tons at $251/ton C&F. Logistics Mix: 100,000 tons to move in containers; 25,000 tons has optional bulk shipment. Market Impact: Neutral-to-bearish for Black Sea soybeans as U.S.…
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Ukrainian Corn Prices Rise on Tight Supply, Strong Demand
Feed corn prices in Ukraine rose by 100–200 UAH/t, reaching 9,000–10,400 UAH/t CPT amid tight farmer selling. Port prices strengthened to USD 210–217/t CPT-port, up USD 1–2/t week-on-week on firm export interest. Southern region recorded the highest bids due to strong competition for port-deliverable raw materials. Market sentiment remains bullish, supported by limited supply and…
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Brazil Wheat Production to Hit Five-Year Low (2026/27)
Brazil wheat output seen at five-year low: 2026/27 harvest projected around 6.86–6.9 million tonnes, down roughly 12% year-on-year. Acreage contraction: Sown area expected to fall 5.2–15.5% amid weak margins, higher nitrogen fertilizer costs, and competition from alternative crops. Weather risk: Potential El Niño in late 2026 raises concerns about excessive rainfall and quality losses during…
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Kostanay Railcar Ban: Major Hit to Kazakhstan Grain Exports
Bearish Black Sea logistics: Long-term ban on empty railcars to Kostanay Station tightens capacity in a key grain export corridor. Structural bottlenecks: 12‑month+ restriction signals deep infrastructure constraints rather than short-term congestion. Route reshuffling: Grain shippers may divert volumes to other Kazakh stations or via Russia, impacting cross-border freight rates and availability. Kazakhstan Railways Restricts…
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Brazil Soybean Inspections Shift Eases China Shipments
Operational: Brazil has shifted soybean sampling for China-bound cargoes from government inspectors to exporter-hired shipping inspection companies. Trade Flows: The change is intended to reduce inspection bottlenecks and normalize Brazil-China soybean trade after recent disruptions. Market Impact: Faster Brazilian exports marginally increase competitive pressure on Black Sea soybean suppliers targeting Chinese demand. Brazil Adjusts Soybean…
