- Uzbek output surges: Refined vegetable oil production in Uzbekistan rose 27.7% year-on-year to 204,600 tons in 2025.
- Import dependence shifts: Refined sunflower oil imports from Kazakhstan more than doubled to 125,000 tons, signaling deeper regional integration.
- Regional headwinds for Black Sea exporters: Stronger Kazakhstan–Uzbekistan trade may limit refined sunflower oil demand for Ukrainian and Russian suppliers in Central Asia.
Uzbekistan Refined Vegetable Oil Market Update
Uzbekistan’s large-scale enterprises produced 204,600 tons of refined vegetable oil in 2025, a 27.7% increase compared to 2024, according to the National Statistics Committee. This sharp rise underscores both expanding processing capacity and solid domestic demand for refined products.
At the same time, Uzbekistan significantly expanded its refined sunflower oil imports from Kazakhstan. Shipments climbed to about 125,000 tons in 2025, up from 55,500 tons in 2024, based on official Kazakhstani statistics cited by APK-Inform. This reflects a 125% year-on-year increase in Kazakh refined sunflower oil supplies to the Uzbek market.
Production and Trade Metrics
| Indicator | 2024 | 2025 | Year-on-Year Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan refined vegetable oil production (tons) | 160,200 (approx.) | 204,600 | +27.7% |
| Uzbekistan refined sunflower oil imports from Kazakhstan (tons) | 55,500 | 125,000 | +125% |
Market Impact and Regional Dynamics
The combination of higher domestic refined vegetable oil output and a steep rise in refined sunflower oil imports highlights robust Central Asian demand but also growing self-sufficiency and regional sourcing. Uzbekistan is increasingly balancing local processing with strategically sourced imports from nearby Kazakhstan.
For the broader Black Sea refined sunflower oil complex, these developments are neutral to slightly bearish. Kazakhstan’s expanding role as a reliable regional supplier may cap incremental demand for Ukrainian and Russian refined sunflower oil in Uzbekistan. Strengthening Kazakhstan–Uzbekistan supply chains suggest that Black Sea exporters may need to pivot more volumes toward alternative importers in the Middle East, North Africa, or South Asia if this regional trend persists.
Source: Market Data
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