- Prices Softer: Ukrainian feed barley fell UAH 100-200/tonne last week to UAH 9,000-10,200/tonne CPT as of December 30, pressured by weak export demand.
- Export Pressure: Declines in export and related markets weighed on domestic prices despite tightening local supply.
- Regional Premiums: Southern Ukraine maintains the highest domestic barley prices, supported by better access to export logistics.
- Bearish Tone: Market sentiment remains bearish into year-end, with limited near-term upside unless export demand improves.
Market Update
The Ukrainian feed barley market came under renewed pressure last week, with prices slipping by UAH 100-200 per tonne according to APK-Inform. As of December 30, most feed barley deals were reported in the UAH 9,000-10,200 per tonne range on a CPT basis, with southern Ukraine continuing to command a price premium over other regions.
The correction has been driven primarily by weakness in the export and related markets, which has filtered back into domestic pricing. At the same time, limited spot availability in Ukraine helped prevent deeper losses, effectively placing a floor under the recent decline.
| Commodity | Region / Basis | Price Range | Weekly Change | Market Tone |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feed Barley | Ukraine, CPT (national) | UAH 9,000-10,200/tonne | -UAH 100-200/tonne | Bearish, pressured by weak exports |
| Feed Barley | Southern Ukraine, CPT | At top of national range | -UAH 100-200/tonne | Premium sustained by export proximity |
Analysis
Bearish bias. The latest drop in Ukrainian feed barley prices underscores softer international demand heading into year-end, with export market weakness acting as the primary driver of domestic downside. Although tighter local supply has cushioned the decline, it has not been sufficient to offset the drag from weaker export interest.
Southern Ukraine’s premium pricing highlights the importance of logistics, as regions closer to export infrastructure are able to secure relatively stronger values even in a softer market. Traders should closely track January export program activity, freight conditions, and competitive offers from Russia and Kazakhstan to gauge whether current pressure will extend into the new year or stabilize on improved buying interest.
Source: Market Data
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